Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.318801 0.426122 0.544410 0.682281 0.836620 1.002394 1.192329
2025-05-18 0.171547 0.307808 0.477977 0.694778 0.954563 1.248610 1.600132
2025-05-25 0.082871 0.211894 0.395541 0.648275 0.967244 1.341660 1.801722
2025-06-01 0.030887 0.139748 0.324118 0.599900 0.965746 1.409321 1.967137
2025-06-08 0.008831 0.097812 0.282150 0.579736 0.990933 1.502014 2.155727
2025-06-15 0.001740 0.077542 0.268198 0.594452 1.058273 1.644330 2.402184
2025-06-22 NaN 0.054914 0.242339 0.586848 1.092587 1.743084 2.594014
2025-06-29 NaN 0.034992 0.213036 0.568926 1.109492 1.817464 2.754187
2025-07-06 NaN 0.030241 0.216399 0.602921 1.198488 1.984246 3.028628
2025-07-13 NaN 0.027627 0.224284 0.644165 1.297712 2.164378 3.319908
2025-07-20 NaN 0.024404 0.229149 0.679790 1.388714 2.333802 3.597960
2025-07-27 NaN 0.025366 0.246949 0.738203 1.512940 2.547032 3.931269
2025-08-03 NaN 0.022183 0.252116 0.777335 1.613964 2.736141 4.242730
2025-08-10 NaN 0.015273 0.240964 0.786793 1.672210 2.870246 4.487089
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004983 0.201005 0.738134 1.641310 2.883888 4.577304
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000334 0.162903 0.685997 1.601191 2.882555 4.646438
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.141989 0.664419 1.605398 2.939129 4.787780
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.138643 0.680204 1.668033 3.075462 5.031890
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.125553 0.672044 1.691647 3.157623 5.205628
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.109026 0.652786 1.695975 3.212270 5.343080
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.114890 0.689299 1.791832 3.394687 5.647367
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.123734 0.733508 1.900511 3.595190 5.975487
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.130175 0.771623 1.999217 3.781869 6.285720